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Protest Movements during Transitions from Insurgency to Consolidated Rebel Rule: the AFPRO-Dataset

This research project examines how the transition from civil war to consolidated rebel rule changes the political environment for protest movements. Using Afghanistan as a case study, it researches protest activity before and after the Taliban takeover in August 2021. The project compares opportunity structures in areas controlled by the government prior to 2021 with those controlled by rebels. It further looks at how opportunity structures have changed since 2021.

The project consists of wo subprojects about former rebel strongholds and former government strongholds respectively. These subprojects should contribute to how social dynamics of political transformations at the end of conflicts are understood. Rebels depending on civil society during wars in order to sustain their insurgency is well researched. This projects adds to this by looking at how this dependency changes after the end of the conflict. Afghanistan, as one of few examples of full rebel victory, is a relevant case study to illustrate potentials and roles of protests after the end of civil war.

Duration: 2024-2027
Funding:  Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
Coordination: Dr. Tareq Sydiq
Team: NN